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Lapse Prevention

First to Second Gift Speed Curve (3 Year Look) Analysis

This analysis shows the cumulative number and percentage of first-time donors who give again within specific time windows (e.g., 30, 90, 360 days).

By CI Blog May 17, 2025 10:32:47 AM 3 min read

First to Second Gift Speed Curve (3 Year Look)

How to use the First to Second Gift Speed Curve (3 Year Look) analysis

This analysis helps you understand how quickly new donors make their second gift after their initial contribution over the past three years. It draws from your Gifts and Constituents data, specifically focusing on donors whose first gift occurred within the last 36 months. For each new donor, it measures the number of days between their first and second gift, then aggregates these results to show the percentage of donors who return with a second gift within various time windows: 30, 60, 90, 180, and 360 days.

The central insight revealed by this analysis is the pace at which your organization converts first-time donors into repeat supporters —a key indicator of donor engagement and the effectiveness of your stewardship efforts. The analysis provides both the cumulative count of donors who made a second gift within each time frame and the corresponding conversion rate as a percentage of all new donors in the period. By examining these metrics, you can determine how your early stewardship and donor communications are performing and identify areas where opportunities for improvement exist.

Use this analysis to benchmark the health of your donor pipeline and identify trends or gaps in your donor retention strategies. Fundraising directors, annual giving managers, and stewardship coordinators should review these insights regularly, ideally as part of their Constituent Intelligence routines. If you notice that a high percentage of second gifts occur within the first 60 days, this indicates effective early engagement. Conversely, a slow conversion curve may prompt you to revisit your welcome series or stewardship touches for new donors.

To act on these insights, consider segmenting new donors who have not yet made a second gift and prioritizing personalized follow-ups within the first 90 days. Development officers should also analyze which outreach tactics correspond with higher conversion rates and replicate those approaches to maximize effectiveness. Success should be measured by tracking improvements in your cumulative conversion rates over time and correlating these gains with any changes in your donor communication or stewardship strategies. Ultimately, this analysis empowers you to strengthen donor relationships, increase retention, and grow sustainable support for your mission.


Analytics Reference: QX78

Focus: 2.7: New Donor Journey thru Third Gift

Type: Trend | Lifecycle: Acquisition, Onboarding | Time: Retrospective | Audience: Operational

Segments: Top, Middle, Bottom, New | Scope: Organization

COLLECTIONS: New Donor Onboarding Monitor

WORKFLOWS: New Donor Journey Monitor (Step 3)

VARIANT FAMILY: New Donor Gift Journey (stage variants)

Other members: QX6 First Time Donor Second Gift Analysis; QX14 New Donor to Second Gift Conversion; QX15 Second to Third Gift Retention; QX19 Second to Third Gift Detail; QX79 Second to Third Gift Speed Curve (3 Year Look

Columns included in this analytic: Time Window, Conversion Rate (Current), Conversion Rate (12m Ago), Conversion Rate (24m Ago), Donors (Current), Donors (12m Ago), Donors (24m Ago)

Analytic Details

Analytic ID
RT1
Analytic Name
First to Second Gift Speed Curve (3 Year Look) Analysis
Focus
2.1: Outright Lapse Mitigation YOY
Type
Cohort Portfolio Management Retrospective Operational
Segments
Top Middle Bottom New Individual Donor
Collections
Lapse Prevention Toolkit
Workflows
Lapse Prevention Protocol (Step 1)
Also Try
RT146 Recently Lapsed Top Donors (15 mo); RT18 Attrition Warning Summary View; RT20 Attrition Warning Detail; RT5 Active Top Donors FYTD vs Last Year
Columns Included
Constituent ID, Donor, Last Gift Date, Last Gift Amount, First Gift Date, Consecutive FYs Giving, Avg Gift Amount, Avg # of Months Between Gifts, Total Fiscal Years with Gift, Total Gifts, Total Giving, Deceased, Constituency, Assigned Fundraiser